One Nation leads Labor among Millennials in post-budget poll
A Redbridge poll shows One Nation leads Labor among Millennials, while Gen Z remains largely unaware of the budget. Both generations express skepticism about the country's direction.
Both sources agree on core polling data and youth disengagement, but RNZ provides more context and sourcing. ABC News Australia frames the story more sharply around government miscalculation, with some omissions that reduce depth.
- ✓ A Redbridge poll shows One Nation leads Labor among Millennials with 30% vs 28%.
- ✓ Only 10% of Gen Z support One Nation as a primary vote choice.
- ✓ Just 6% of Gen Z noticed the budget 'a great deal,' while 47% noticed 'very much' or less.
- ✓ Tony Barry stated that those who know about the budget do not like it.
- ✓ The budget was designed with intergenerational equity in mind, particularly affecting first-home buyers.
- ✓ Changes to negative gearing and capital gains tax are central to the budget's housing policy.
Poll sourcing
Cites Australian Financial Review, Redbridge Group, and Accent Research
Only cites Redbridge poll
Context on housing ownership decline
Includes Treasury modelling showing 3% drop in home ownership since 1999
Omits this data
Government expectations
Does not comment on government expectations
States rejection from young voters was not anticipated
RNZ
Framing: Focuses on Labor's strategic failure and the unexpected rise of One Nation among Millennials, emphasizing voter disengagement among Gen Z and negative public perception of the budget.
Tone: Analytical and slightly critical of Labor, with a focus on polling data and expert commentary to underscore political miscalculation.
Framing by Emphasis: RNZ emphasizes the irony that Labor's budget, designed for younger voters, is instead boosting support for One Nation, framing it as a political misstep.
"It's as if Labor designed a budget to turbocharge more anti-establishment sentiment and pump up One Nation's tyres."
Proper Attribution: Direct quotes from Redbridge director Tony Barry are used to support claims about voter sentiment, lending credibility to the analysis.
"Those that do know about the budget, don't like it."
Comprehensive Sourcing: Cites multiple sources: Redbridge Group, Accent Research, Australian Financial Review, and Treasury modelling, providing a layered evidentiary base.
Narrative Framing: Structures the story around the theme of 'a budget designed for kids' that backfired, creating a coherent narrative arc.
"Budget designed for the kids"
ABC News Australia
Framing: Highlights youth rejection of the budget and the growing appeal of One Nation, with a sharper focus on the government's failure to connect with its intended audience.
Tone: More direct and critical, with a tone of surprise at the lack of anticipated support from younger voters.
Cherry-Picking: ABC News Australia omits mention of the Australian Financial Review and Accent Research, focusing only on Redbridge, potentially narrowing the perceived credibility of the poll.
"According to a Redbridge poll published on Sunday night"
Appeal to Emotion: Concludes with the line about rejection from younger voters being 'not anticipated,' evoking a sense of political vulnerability.
"While the government expected backlash... rejection from younger voters was not anticipated."
Framing by Emphasis: Places greater emphasis on the rejection by youth, making it the central theme rather than one aspect of broader dissatisfaction.
"Young Australians reject budget, One Nation popularity climbs further in new poll"
Omission: Does not mention the 3 percent drop in home ownership or the 280,000 homes figure attributed to Treasury modelling, reducing context on housing policy impact.
RNZ
Includes broader sourcing (AFR, Accent Research), Treasury data on home ownership, and more detailed context on policy intent and impact.
ABC News Australia
Relies on a single poll source and omits key data on housing ownership decline, offering a narrower view of the event.
Poll puts One Nation ahead of Labor
One Nation’s sticky surge • Inside Story
Australia's One Nation now more popular with Millennials than Labor
Young Australians reject budget, One Nation popularity climbs further in new poll